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What Banks Should Know About Tariffs and the Economy in 2025
for Community Banks
What's Inside?
Economic uncertainty is rising—and with it, new challenges and opportunities for banks.
Renowned economist Jill Cetina dives into the long-term effects of tariffs, persistent inflation, and macroeconomic instability in a presentation she gave to the Certificate of Bank Treasury Risk Management. We believe her insights are especially relevant for capital planning, ALCO strategy and managing commercial real estate risks.
Note: Invictus does not have any contractual relationship with Ms. Cetina or BTRM. Our promotion of her presentation is strictly based upon its immense educational value for financial institutions.
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Why tariff uncertainty may reshape long-term economic expectations
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How the risks of stagflation could affect the banking system
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Strategic implications for community banks and mid-size institutions
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What capital planning should look like in today’s volatile macro environment
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Key takeaways from Slides 21–23 on portfolio, liquidity, and interest rate risk
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How your institution can prepare for downside scenarios now—not later
“Managing CRE concentration risk requires both form and substance. Banks who craft and consistently update a CRE Concentration Risk Management Plan will be able to do both. The ROI is the trust of your regulators and directors so you can maintain and even grow your portfolio without having to unnecessarily raise capital to do so.”