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Tariff & Trade War Recession Scenario
What's inside?
Our Tariff & Trade War Recession Scenario document emphasizes:
Quarterly movements in critical macroeconomic factors (such as GDP, Unemployment, and Interest Rates).
The limitations of monetary policy which may limit the effectiveness of any Federal Reserve response.
The potential impact of tariffs on specific industries.
Possible ways to modify your existing stress testing framework to consider critical differences between this scenario and more traditional recessions.
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"This is the time to get serious about capital planning [...] Your strategic plan is your playbook for offense, but your capital plan is your playbook for defense."