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Tariff & Trade War Recession Scenario
What's inside?
Our Tariff & Trade War Recession Scenario document emphasizes:
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Quarterly movements in critical macroeconomic factors (such as GDP, Unemployment, and Interest Rates).
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The limitations of monetary policy which may limit the effectiveness of any Federal Reserve response.
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The potential impact of tariffs on specific industries.
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Possible ways to modify your existing stress testing framework to consider critical differences between this scenario and more traditional recessions.
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"This is the time to get serious about capital planning [...] Your strategic plan is your playbook for offense, but your capital plan is your playbook for defense."